Date registered: Sep 2004
Vehicle: 95 E300
Location: Inside my head
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Quoted: 392 Post(s)
It's the classic massed force of large numbers of soldiers vs smaller numbers of highly trained, very lethal forces. Looking to history for guidance is very risky, indeed. But in terms of mechanized warfare of land forces we could compare Nazi Germany in the USSR (USSR wins with volume) or Allies vs Axis in N Africa (intelligence overwhelmingly favors Allies) or UN vs N Korea (shift in doctrine by UN forces annihilated massed Chinese & K Norea forces) or USA vs Vietnam (Vietnam wins with 'elan'), or China vs Vietnam (lethality of Vietnamese army kicked serious butt on poorly organized, led, and equipped Chinese forces) or coalition vs Iraq in GW I (combined arms overwhelms massed) or coalition vs Iraq in GW II (mech wins).
It looks to me like the USA & S. Korea are fully committed to the assumption that NK will follow Soviet 1980's battle doctrine, which was massed low tech vs lethal high tech. Using Europe as an example of Soviet vs NATO, NATO forces in place had to survive 3 days (IIRC) before bringing the Soviet advance to a halt. Once brought to a standstill, the NATO air forces would shift from close air support of the retreating NATO ground forces to interdiction of logistical support of Warsaw Pact, essentially starving the front line forces allowing NATO ground forces to probe for weakness while reserve activation in the USA and NATO accelerated and sealift began loading heavy infantry and armored forces for trans-Atlantic shipment. If stalemate could be maintained for 2-3 weeks that would be sufficient time for sealift to begin having an impact on logistics and forces.
if the above strategy appeared susceptible to immanent failure at any point, NATO would go 'nukular' to halt the advancing Warsaw forces.
I have never studied the S Korea doctrine but I'll bet it is similar to NATO.
So to me the question is this: Are the N Koreans so blindingly stupid as to NOT change their strategy?
Assuming that our military intel folks have systems at least as good as Google Earth, I'll bet that they have studied all of the maneuvers and logistics that N Korea has executed in all of it's standard activities and all of it's exercises.
Despite indications to the contrary, I don't think the NK military is freaking stupid. So what do they have (or do) that they think 'we' don't know about or cannot stop?
The biggest problems we are facing right now have to do with George Bush trying to bring more and more power into the executive branch and not go through Congress at all and thatís what I intend to reverse.
~ Senator Barack H. Obama