Pollster John Zogby: “Anything can happen, but time is running short for McCain. - Mercedes-Benz Forum

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post #1 of 2 (permalink) Old 10-22-2008, 05:37 AM Thread Starter
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Pollster John Zogby: “Anything can happen, but time is running short for McCain.

Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: And Then It Was Ten . . .
Obama 51.6%, McCain 42.0%

UTICA, New York – Democrat Barack Obama moved very close to a double–digit lead over Republican John McCain in the national horserace for President, continuing his slow push forward above the 50% mark, gaining 1.3 points in the last day.
Data from this poll is available here

McCain is slowly losing ground, having lost another 0.4 points in this latest report on the Reuters/C–SPAN/Zogby daily tracking poll.

Pollster John Zogby: “Three big days for Obama. Anything can happen, but time is running short for McCain. These numbers, if they hold, are blowout numbers. They fit the 1980 model with Reagan's victory over Carter -- but they are happening 12 days before Reagan blasted ahead. If Obama wins like this we can be talking not only victory but realignment: he leads by 27 points among Independents, 27 points among those who have already voted, 16 among newly registered voters, 31 among Hispanics, 93%-2% among African Americans, 16 among women, 27 among those 18-29, 5 among 30-49 year olds, 8 among 50-64s, 4 among those over 65, 25 among Moderates, and 12 among Catholics (which is better than Bill Clinton's 10-point victory among Catholics in 1996). He leads with men by 2 points, and is down among whites by only 6 points, down 2 in armed forces households, 3 among investors, and is tied among NASCAR fans.”

Obama wins 85% support from Democrats, and 11% of Republicans.

McCain wins 83% of the Republican vote, and 10% of the Democratic vote.

The three–day rolling average poll includes 1,208 likely voters nationwide, surveyed at the rate of 400 interviews per day and was conducted Oct. 19–21, 2008. It carries a margin of error of +/– 2.9 percentage points. Interviews were conducted using live telephone operators in Zogby’s in–house call center in Upstate New York.

Daily Tracking Continues

This daily tracking telephone poll will continue each day until the Nov. 4 election. With each new day of responses that are folded into the poll, the oldest third of the survey is removed, so the poll “tracks” changes in voter attitudes following events and developments in the race. Keep up-to-date every day by visiting Zogby International.

For a complete methodological statement on this survey, please visit:
Zogby International

Zogby International
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post #2 of 2 (permalink) Old 10-22-2008, 07:01 AM
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I think we are seeing the end of RWNJ dominance over the country. People are not buying into the Fear and Bull Shit meme anymore, and now see it was nothing more than a scam by the super-rich to rip of the US Middle Class for it's once considerable wealth. Now they are a cartoon, led by the Cartoon Channel's Crotchty Old Man, along with Joe The Plumber and Sarah Barracuda, ridiculous clowns in a serious world. Even their underbelly is finished, as shown by the national meltdown of Michelle Bachman, a fucking paranoid nut case and a half, who displayed the confusion of Jayhawkism for all to see in her ranting about "anti-American Congressmen" who needed to "be investigated", as her master Sarah B. ranted about "pro-American parts of the country".

Their shit isn't working any more, they are finished. Soon we will all get to sit back and watch as they tear themselves apart following their defeat, and my hope is sanity returns to this collection of confused, incoherent and increasingly insane party, driven nuts by internal contradictions and an utter inability to see that the times they are a changin' once again.

Recall that earlier generations faced down fascism and communism not just with missiles and tanks, but with sturdy alliances and enduring convictions. They understood that our power alone cannot protect us, nor does it entitle us to do as we please. Instead, they knew that our power grows through its prudent use; our security emanates from the justness of our cause, the force of our example, the tempering qualities of humility and restraint.

-President Barack Obama, 1st Inaugural address
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