Obambi Hasn't Closed the Sale - Mercedes-Benz Forum

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post #1 of 17 (permalink) Old 10-16-2008, 01:30 PM Thread Starter
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Obambi Hasn't Closed the Sale

In the campaign's final two weeks, voters will take a last serious look at both presidential candidates. The outcome of the race isn't cast in stone yet.

Barack Obama holds a 7.3% lead in the Real Clear Politics average of all polls, but the latest Gallup tracking poll reveals that there are nearly twice as many undecided voters this year than there were in the last presidential election. The Investor's Business Daily/TIPP poll (which was closest to the mark in predicting the 2004 outcome -- 0.4% off the actual result) now says this is a three-point race.

This week also brought a reminder that Sen. Obama hasn't closed the sale. The Washington Post/ABC poll found 45% of voters still don't think he's qualified to be president, about the same number who doubted his qualifications in March.

This is seven points more than George W. Bush's highest reading in 2000 and the worst since Michael Dukakis's 56% unqualified rating in 1988. It explains why Mr. Obama has ignored Democratic giddiness and done two things to keep victory from slipping away.

First, he is using his money to try to keep John McCain from gaining traction. The Obama campaign raised $67 million in September and may be on track to raise $100 million in October. Sen. McCain opted last month for roughly $85 million in public financing, giving him less than half of Mr. Obama's funds for the campaign's final two months. Even with robust Republican National Committee fund raising to augment his spending, Mr. McCain is at a severe financial disadvantage.

So Mr. Obama is spending $35 million on TV this week versus the McCain/RNC total of $17 million. Mr. Obama is outspending Mr. McCain on TV in Virginia by a ratio of 4 to 1, in Florida by 3 to 1, and in Missouri and Nevada by better than 2 to 1. The disparity is likely to grow in the campaign's final weeks.

Money alone, however, won't decide the contest. John Kerry and the Democrats outspent Mr. Bush and the GOP in 2004 by $121 million and still lost.

Mr. Obama's other strategy is to do all he can to look presidential, including buying very expensive half-hour slots to address the country next week. He wants to give a serious, Oval-Office type address. This is smart. People appreciate Mr. Obama's empathy on the economy, but as they take a long look at what he wants to do about it, they will be less impressed, especially if Mr. McCain draws sharp contrasts with clear policy proposals.

Mr. Obama is trying to make the case that his lack of experience or record should not disqualify him. But in doing so, he seems to recognize that the U.S. is still a center-right country. His TV ads promise tax cuts and his radio ads savage Mr. McCain's health-care plan as a tax increase. It's a startling campaign conversion for the most liberal member of the Senate. We'll know on Election Day if he is able to get away with it.

Similarly, Mr. McCain appears to be making three important course corrections. First, he and Gov. Sarah Palin are sharpening their stump speeches so their sound bites come off well on TV. Gone are offhand remarks and awkward comments read from notes perched on a podium. In are teleprompters and carefully crafted arguments. Mr. McCain is also more at ease than before and has an ebullient, come-from-behind underdog optimism that will serve him well in the final weeks.

Second, Mr. McCain is shaping a story line that draws on well-founded concerns about Mr. Obama's lack of record or experience. Mr. McCain is also bowing to reality and devoting most of his time to the economy. His narrative is he's the conservative reformer who'll lead and work hard to get things done, while Mr. Obama is the tax-and-spend liberal who's unprepared to lead and unwilling to act.

Mr. McCain is hitting Mr. Obama for wanting to raise taxes in difficult economic times, especially on small business and for the purpose of redistributing income, and for having lavish spending plans at a time when the economy is faltering. He's criticizing Mr. Obama for lingering on the sidelines while Mr. McCain dove in to help pass a rescue plan, necessary no matter how distasteful. And he's attacking Mr. Obama for not joining the fight in 2005 when reformers like Mr. McCain tried to rein in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Mr. McCain's other adjustment is his schedule. His campaign understands the dire circumstances it faces and is narrowing his travels almost exclusively to Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, Missouri, Colorado and Nevada. If he carries those states, while losing only Iowa and New Mexico from the GOP's 2004 total, Mr. McCain will carry 274 Electoral College votes and the White House. It's threading the needle, but it's come to that.

This task, while not impossible, will be difficult. By mid-September, the McCain camp was slightly ahead in the polls. Then came the financial crisis. The past month has taken an enormous toll on the McCain campaign.

Whether it can find the right formula in the next 19 days to dig out is a question. If Mr. McCain succeeds, he will have engineered the most impressive and improbable political comeback since Harry Truman in 1948. But having to reach back more than a half-century for inspiration is not the place campaign managers want to be now.

Obama Hasn't Closed the Sale - WSJ.com

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post #2 of 17 (permalink) Old 10-16-2008, 02:24 PM
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Find the needle yet ?
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post #3 of 17 (permalink) Old 10-16-2008, 02:26 PM
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Find the needle yet ?


Muffin, J could not find his ass with both hands..........
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post #4 of 17 (permalink) Old 10-16-2008, 02:55 PM
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Put a fork in McGranny. He is beyond done, he is actually over cooked.

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post #5 of 17 (permalink) Old 10-16-2008, 02:57 PM
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Jayhawk,
Frankly speaking, if the line is 9 to 1 that Obama will won. Usually that will be the result. Because this is a outcome not control by referee. If I am going to bet on a ball game I will take the dog because most favor will lost. The outcome is control by referee. But there is still time before election. I have to look at the line on Nov 3. Then I can predict here before Nov 4.

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post #6 of 17 (permalink) Old 10-16-2008, 04:11 PM
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Dai,
Are you insinuating McGranny is going to win at the last minute? Not according to the math from Electoral College. If McGranny's math is bad as yours, I honestly don't want him to man this ship, no sireeee!!

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post #7 of 17 (permalink) Old 10-16-2008, 04:48 PM
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Do not jump gun until the last moment. I honest do not know who will win. But I know who I am going to vote. Sometimes, logical reasons will not play out because the media is always play our mind with seem to be obvious outcome. Please do not ask me who I am going to vote and why. The voting machine will get my vote. The mind of an old mule is very difficult to change. Both candidates lies in front of you and me. We just want to take a smart crook to lead for next 4 yrs. whoever after the corruption, still leave us something in the treasury. That will be the choice.

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post #8 of 17 (permalink) Old 10-16-2008, 05:01 PM Thread Starter
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Obambi is desperate...

Obama Organizer Attempts To Register Voters In Jails...

Barack Obama’s campaign prides itself on grassroots organizing, with thousands of staff members targeting numerous subsets of the population for voter registration and persuasion. One even sought to register inmates.

An internal email from the Michigan Department of Corrections in August describes a request from the campaign to enter jails to register those inmates set to be released before Election Day.

An Obama spokesman in Michigan acknowledged that a new organizer made the request, but supervisors nixed the idea as soon as they found out about it. The campaign denied all association with a second request to the Department of Corrections. The emails say that a Theresa Collins, identified as the national coordinator of “Inmates to Support Barack Obama,” asked the prison to post information about how prisoners could make campaign contributions to Obama. That group doesn’t appear to have any Web site.

The email chain shows that Richard Stapleton, administrator of the department’s Office of Legal Affairs, told a colleague to deny the campaign’s request. The email, which Washington Wire received from Obama opponent, was verified by a Corrections Department spokesman.

“We’ve got to make sure they’re out first,” said John Cordell, the spokesman. “We could say you’re out on Oct. 31, but if they do something between now and Oct. 31 that would make us think they’re a danger to society, then we’ll rescind their parole.”

Cordell said that around 10,000 inmates are released from Michigan jails each year. They are legally allowed to vote as soon as they are discharged or paroled, and a social worker typically helps them register at that time.

The campaign has said that it hasn’t tried to register felons, although it does provide information on whether state law allows felons to vote. Conservatives have made hay over some of Obama’s supporters and his connections. An article about a death-row inmate who endorsed Obama was widely picked up by right-wing blogs.

Washington Wire - WSJ.com : Obama Organizer Targets the Big House

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post #9 of 17 (permalink) Old 10-17-2008, 02:25 AM
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^^^^Jay Hussein Hawk the only one desparate here is you in trying to believe that McCain has a chance in hell of pulling this off............
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post #10 of 17 (permalink) Old 10-17-2008, 02:34 AM
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There is still a good 20% of the people in this nation that back and support W. and all he stands for. After much contemplating I say we pump buckshot into their respective lame ass.
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