KY border fence - Page 2 - Mercedes-Benz Forum

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post #11 of 16 (permalink) Old 10-03-2008, 01:50 PM
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I don't see any reason to question the survey.
Again, you have a problem with simple dollars and sense. What is so hard to understand about 30 billion real dollars sent abroad ?
I didn't question the survey, just stated that we don't know the depth of its questions, its methodologies, nor do we know what overlaps it might have with other surveys to make accurate analysis to your question.

Saying I don't know the methodologies does not imply that I think they are flawed, simply that I don't know if the dataset is applicable to cross analysis.

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post #12 of 16 (permalink) Old 10-03-2008, 01:57 PM
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Really , and Tennessee, W Virginia, Missouri , Illinois are immune from the same job loss woes ? The second reason you propose does not hold water.
I know that Kentucky's unemployment rate has increased more than surrounding states in the past two years. Part of that has been because of manufacturing job losses by small factories. Some has been because of changes in tobacco industry issues such as import/export regulations.

Kentucky's economy is usually not tied to Tennessee, Missouri or Illinois and only tied to WVA by Coal, usually not a immigrant heavy industry. Many of the tax breaks that were handed out to businesses a bunch of years ago [those little manufacturing businesses] expired in 2005-2008. Our Republican Governor was somewhat busy in an ethics investigation and did not really focus on much trade stuff. I really don't know what surrounding states did.

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post #13 of 16 (permalink) Old 10-03-2008, 02:03 PM Thread Starter
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I didn't question the survey, just stated that we don't know the depth of its questions, its methodologies, nor do we know what overlaps it might have with other surveys to make accurate analysis to your question.

Saying I don't know the methodologies does not imply that I think they are flawed, simply that I don't know if the dataset is applicable to cross analysis.
I will attempt at giving some color to the simplicity of the numbers.

It means some out of work American has fewer dollars in his/her bank account because the paycheck went to an illegal.
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post #14 of 16 (permalink) Old 10-03-2008, 02:13 PM
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I will attempt at giving some color to the simplicity of the numbers.

It means some out of work American has fewer dollars in his/her bank account because the paycheck went to an illegal.
D'uh, Thanks Captain Obvious.

Now, what does that have to do with either the story which tells us that fewer dollars are heading south which might mean fewer dollars are moving from US pocketbooks or what does it have to do with your contrived question?

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post #15 of 16 (permalink) Old 10-03-2008, 02:27 PM Thread Starter
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D'uh, Thanks Captain Obvious.

Now, what does that have to do with either the story which tells us that fewer dollars are heading south which might mean fewer dollars are moving from US pocketbooks or what does it have to do with your contrived question?
It's simple ... KY (Indiana, Ohio, NJ too , anyone ? ) stood out in the sea of green that is the entire eastern US.
You know what ... it looks like a pocket of resistance which is being collapsed on all sides.

Why ?

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post #16 of 16 (permalink) Old 10-03-2008, 02:28 PM
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It's simple ... KY (Indiana, Ohio, NJ too , anyone ? ) stood out in the sea of green that is the entire eastern US.
You know what ... it looks like a pocket of resistance which is being collapsed on all sides.

Why ?
I think I would start by looking at BLS tables at the 50 states unemployment rate trends and correlate that data with that on the map. It would give you a SWAG if the data was simply a gross economic turndown from those states. If not, then you would have to go a different route to path out the analysis.

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