You may certainly disagree with my conclusion about who B&B need to bring in, but I don't hear any analysis from you of who it's going to take for your candidate to break the 44-44 tie. Obama gets kids, ACLU and trial lawyers, 20-30- percent of HRC's women, union types, but those won't get him over the top. He needs white males.
Well, it is a bit early but off the top of my head I see the splits like this.
Women [pro choice, anti Iraq]
Anti Iraq [Screw the Course]
Black vote [90%]
Union [not a big pop]
Bush Revolt [hate anything that bush touched]
X% Hillary [unknown percentage of Hillraisers]
X% Christian Conservative [those who vote against Dems]
Rural South [not the urban areas]
Big Sky [the low population Red States]
Pro Iraq [Stay the course folks]
Shrinking28 [couldn't resist]
Up for Grabs/Stay Home
X% Christian Conservatives
A lot of people have lost a lot of money in the Stock Market this year. I am hearing advertisements DAILY reminding folks that a Privatized Social Security System would have lost 20% of value this year [big picture not a valid argument but...] McCain has been strongly on both sides of this issue in the past four years. That will matter. I think the 16 year old phrase "It's the Economy, Stupid" is going to play out again this year.