Why the Race is Tied... - Mercedes-Benz Forum

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post #1 of 11 (permalink) Old 07-16-2008, 08:59 AM Thread Starter
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Why the Race is Tied...

After almost six weeks of a constant Obama lead, generally in the five- to seven-point range, Scott Rasmussen's daily tracking poll records two consecutive days of a tie race (July 12-13) and a one-point Obama lead on July 14. What happened to the Democrat's lead?

Part of the slippage is Obama's fault and part is McCain's gain.

Obama has carried flip-flopping to new heights. In the space of a month and a half, this candidate -- who we don't really yet know very well -- reversed or sharply modified his positions on at least eight key issues:

• After vowing to eschew private fundraising and take public financing, he has now refused public money.

• Once he threatened to filibuster a bill to protect telephone companies from liability for their cooperation with national security wiretaps; now he has voted for the legislation.

• Turning his back on a lifetime of support for gun control, he now recognizes a Second Amendment right to bear arms in the wake of the Supreme Court decision.

• Formerly, he told the Israeli lobby that he favored an undivided Jerusalem. Now he says he didn't mean it.

• From a 100 percent pro-choice position, he now has migrated to expressing doubts about allowing partial-birth abortions.

• For the first time, he now speaks highly of using church-based institutions to deliver public services to the poor.

• Having based his entire campaign on withdrawal from Iraq, he now pledges to consult with the military first.

• During the primary, he backed merit pay for teachers -- but before the union a few weeks ago, he opposed it.

• After specifically saying in the primaries that he disagreed with Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton's (D-N.Y.) proposal to impose Social Security taxes on income over $200,000 and wanted to tax all income, he has now adopted the Clinton position.

Obama's breathtaking flips and flops are materially different from McCain's. While McCain had opposed offshore oil drilling and now supports it, the facts have obviously changed. Obama's shifts have nothing to do with altered circumstances, just a change in the political calendar...

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post #2 of 11 (permalink) Old 07-16-2008, 09:01 AM
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They're both centrists, that's why. 6 of one is a half dozen of the other.

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post #3 of 11 (permalink) Old 07-16-2008, 09:01 AM
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What are you going to do when Obama wins?
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post #4 of 11 (permalink) Old 07-16-2008, 01:26 PM
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Obama a centrist? lol



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post #5 of 11 (permalink) Old 07-16-2008, 02:18 PM
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How do you figure obama is a centrist?
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post #6 of 11 (permalink) Old 07-16-2008, 02:26 PM
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Or could it be that Obama took a 2 week vacation, has been on the media 25% as much as McCain and has spent 20% as much on media in the past month?

The advertising industry has always suggested they can influence 3% simply by the ad saturation and timing. Add that to the 3%+/- and this is a non story.

The polls will start mattering after the two conventions. That will be when both candidates, their surrogates, 527s, the National parties and the media will be in full swing for the final 75 day blitz.

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post #7 of 11 (permalink) Old 07-16-2008, 03:26 PM
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Or could it be that Obama took a 2 week vacation, has been on the media 25% as much as McCain and has spent 20% as much on media in the past month?
Funny whenever I turn on the TV the coverage is 75% obama oh and we have this old white guy over here running for president. In the media McCain is nothing but an after thought.
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post #8 of 11 (permalink) Old 07-16-2008, 03:28 PM
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hopfully that will also be the case in november



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post #9 of 11 (permalink) Old 07-16-2008, 03:50 PM
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Originally Posted by 430 View Post
How do you figure obama is a centrist?
How do you figure he's not?

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post #10 of 11 (permalink) Old 07-16-2008, 05:41 PM Thread Starter
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Originally Posted by mcbear View Post
Or could it be that Obama took a 2 week vacation, has been on the media 25% as much as McCain and has spent 20% as much on media in the past month?

The advertising industry has always suggested they can influence 3% simply by the ad saturation and timing. Add that to the 3%+/- and this is a non story.

The polls will start mattering after the two conventions. That will be when both candidates, their surrogates, 527s, the National parties and the media will be in full swing for the final 75 day blitz.
Making excuses for your boy again are you bear??? Face it, he's a loser, and so are those who make excuses for his failings...

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