I can't believe you're trying to pass that off as being relevant to all of the various data sets I presented. At least look at what I posted before you make a total fool of yourself!
In your rush to be negative, you failed to even read your own table. Though it is not applicable to what I posted, it indicates a maximum 14% (not 14 point) margin of error. 14% of 54 EXPERTS is 7.56% maximum possible error. Most of what I presented are hard data, and not subject to your table of error. Those that surveyed are not random people's opinions--which that silly table assumes--but carefully selected and internationally respected experts in economics.
I used to respect and pay attention to your many criticisms, but now days you seem to be just throwing BearShit up in the air and hoping someone believe you or that no one will recognize your obviously fraudulent points.
Um, you might want to look up Survey Margin of Error. Try this. Margin of Error and Confidence Levels Made Simple
Your definition is completely off. First, the error rate is calculated off the the results, not the number of those surveyed. Your calculation of 14% of 54 sample is not germane. The calculation is off the RESULT number of 51/49 and is +/- 14 points from that result.
The folks at SixSigma can clarify for you...or not.
I read all the data you posted. Much of what you presented is projections, not actual data and as was earlier posted, the projections from the past six months have PROVEN to be off by as much as 40%. The trends don't support the projections shown. The trends support flat AT BEST, and with Inflation, negative growth.
The key is the first table on the left [Changing Views] of the linked article "Do you think we are CURRENTLY IN A RECESSION?". If we believe the margin of error for the surveys, 67% of those "carefully selected and internationally respected experts
in economics" believe we are already in a RECESSION. A majority still do.