SHOCK POLL: CLINTON PASSES OBAMA IN GALLUP DAILY... - Mercedes-Benz Forum

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post #1 of 41 (permalink) Old 04-20-2008, 10:20 AM Thread Starter
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SHOCK POLL: CLINTON PASSES OBAMA IN GALLUP DAILY...

Could the old gal really pull it off?


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post #2 of 41 (permalink) Old 04-20-2008, 10:27 AM
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She could pull it off about as well as you posted the link to the poll.....................hows Mittens doing now?
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post #3 of 41 (permalink) Old 04-20-2008, 10:49 AM
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post #4 of 41 (permalink) Old 04-20-2008, 10:57 AM
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^^^^Ed, Don't worry about Jay, he is only hoping for Billary becuase he thinks it will be easier for McCain to beat her but Obama has got this in the bag as long as Penn. comes out the way it should..........
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post #5 of 41 (permalink) Old 04-20-2008, 11:55 AM
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Originally Posted by Jayhawk View Post
Could the old gal really pull it off?

She's probably been pullin' it for 20 years or so. If he keeps screwin' with big-haired women I think she'll pull it off.

The biggest problems we are facing right now have to do with George Bush trying to bring more and more power into the executive branch and not go through Congress at all and thatís what I intend to reverse.

~ Senator Barack H. Obama
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post #6 of 41 (permalink) Old 04-20-2008, 11:57 AM
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She could pull it off about as well as you posted the link to the poll.....................hows Mittens doing now?
The link to the graph he posted indicates a Gallup address. That's not an unknown entity in the world of polling.

B

The biggest problems we are facing right now have to do with George Bush trying to bring more and more power into the executive branch and not go through Congress at all and thatís what I intend to reverse.

~ Senator Barack H. Obama
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post #7 of 41 (permalink) Old 04-20-2008, 11:57 AM
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Probably a methodological difference.

Only one poll matters and it's final.

The biggest problems we are facing right now have to do with George Bush trying to bring more and more power into the executive branch and not go through Congress at all and thatís what I intend to reverse.

~ Senator Barack H. Obama
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post #8 of 41 (permalink) Old 04-20-2008, 12:20 PM
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post #9 of 41 (permalink) Old 04-20-2008, 12:38 PM
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Originally Posted by Botnst View Post
Probably a methodological difference.

Only one poll matters and it's final.
EXACTLY

It depends on what the question was [exactly how it was phrased], who asked it, when, how many respondents, total poll pool.

If the question was

1) Are you going to vote for Clinton or Obama?

or

2) If the election were held today would you:
  • vote for Clinton
  • likely vote for Clinton
  • be undecided until you got in the booth
  • likely vote for Obama
  • vote for Obama
  • still undecided

the numbers would skew by 5-10 points. And since the samples tend to be only for 1024 voters [which then has a 3% margin for error] the keyhole is very small.

McBear,
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Being smart is knowing the difference, in a sticky situation between a well delivered anecdote and a well delivered antidote - bear.
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post #10 of 41 (permalink) Old 04-20-2008, 01:59 PM Thread Starter
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No conflict... Different dates...

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