Kenyan president lost election, according to U.S. exit poll - Mercedes-Benz Forum

LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
post #1 of 4 (permalink) Old 01-15-2008, 01:22 AM Thread Starter
CH4S Artist
Teutone's Avatar
Date registered: Sep 2004
Vehicle: 1985 500SEC, 1991 190E 2.6.
Location: Los Angeles / Hannover Germany
Posts: 33,434
Mentioned: 11 Post(s)
Quoted: 937 Post(s)
Lifetime Premium Member
(Thread Starter)
Kenyan president lost election, according to U.S. exit poll

Kenyan president lost election, according to U.S. exit poll
By Shashank Bengali, McClatchy Newspapers
Mon Jan 14, 10:35 AM ET

NAIROBI, Kenya — An exit poll carried out on behalf of a U.S. government-backed foundation indicates that Kenyan President Mwai Kibaki was defeated in last month's disputed election rather than being re-elected as he claims, according to officials with knowledge of the document.

The poll by the Washington -based International Republican Institute — which hasn't been publicly released— further undermines an election result that many international observers have described as flawed. The outcome has sparked protests and ethnically driven clashes that have killed hundreds.

Opposition leader Raila Odinga led Kibaki by roughly 8 percentage points in the poll, which surveyed voters as they left polling places during the election Dec. 27 , according to one senior Western official who's seen the data and requested anonymity because of the sensitivity of the issue. That's a sharp departure from the results that Kenyan election officials certified, which gave Kibaki a margin of 231,728 votes over Odinga, about 3 percentage points.

U.S. and European observers have criticized the official results, which came after long, unexplained delays in counting the votes, primarily from Kibaki strongholds. Jendayi Frazer , the assistant secretary of state for African affairs, said over the weekend that there were "serious irregularities in the vote tallying, which made it impossible to determine with certainty the final result."

The head of the International Republican Institute — a nonpartisan democracy-building organization whose work in Kenya was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development — said the data weren't released because of concerns about their validity.

The institute contracted an experienced Kenyan polling firm, Strategic Public Relations and Research, which had done two previous national-opinion polls for the institute last year. But on election day the institute's staff found that pollsters weren't gathering information in some areas.

Institute President Lorne Craner said institute staffers weren't in all areas where pollsters were working, so they couldn't be sure which areas weren't represented. Officials at the polling firm couldn't be reached for comment, although outside experts said such data problems could be adjusted for statistically.

Craner also said he was wary of releasing the results after protests had begun, but he added that he wouldn't have released them even if there'd been no violence.

"We didn't think it made sense to put out what could be an invalid poll in a climate of great tension," he said.

The senior Western official, who reviewed partial results, described them as credible. The survey included a sufficient sample of voters from around the country, and Odinga's lead was comfortably outside the expected margin of error for a poll of that size, the official said.

"What it tells me is there was an exit poll that had one candidate with a significant lead who, at the end of the day, was not declared the victor. That seems to me to be a little surprising," the official said.

The election and its aftermath have destroyed Kenya's reputation for stability. As the country braced for more opposition protests later this week, former U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan was expected to arrive as early as Tuesday for talks with Kibaki and Odinga, although several attempts to get the two rivals to meet already have failed.

Kenyan activists called on U.S. officials to release any data that would shed light on election fraud.

"People want justice and truth. Part of that can only be attained if there is an independent inquiry into the election results, and that will need independent sources like the exit poll," said Dan Juma , the acting deputy director of the Kenya Human Rights Commission , a nongovernmental group.

The International Republican Institute's work in Kenya dates to 1992, when it led an international mission to observe the country's first multiparty elections. According to its Web site, the institute sponsors public opinion research— including exit polls— "to help strengthen political and civic institutions" in countries where it works.

For last month's election, the organization sent delegates to monitor more than 100 polling stations. Its officials initially praised voting day as peaceful and orderly, but after the disputed result they issued a statement acknowledging "serious questions about the manner in which the vote tabulation was managed."
Teutone is offline  
Sponsored Links
post #2 of 4 (permalink) Old 01-15-2008, 01:34 AM Thread Starter
CH4S Artist
Teutone's Avatar
Date registered: Sep 2004
Vehicle: 1985 500SEC, 1991 190E 2.6.
Location: Los Angeles / Hannover Germany
Posts: 33,434
Mentioned: 11 Post(s)
Quoted: 937 Post(s)
Lifetime Premium Member
(Thread Starter)
Kenya's post-election dispute moves to parliament

Kenya's post-election dispute moves to parliament
By Andrew Cawthorne and Katie Nguyen
12 minutes ago

Kenya's political turmoil moved to parliament on Tuesday with the government and opposition wrestling for control of the nation's legislature after the disputed re-election of President Mwai Kibaki.

Roads were closed and riot police ringed the building in downtown Nairobi from early morning before the opening session of the new parliament, scheduled for 2.30 p.m. (6:30 a.m. EST).

In the 222-seat parliament, the opposition Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), which says Kibaki stole the December 27 vote by electoral fraud, commands the highest number of seats, 99.

It hopes to elect its candidate, Kenneth Marende, as speaker on Tuesday and has even threatened to occupy the government seats, arguing it is the rightful election winner.

ODM later plans to block all government work in parliament.

"It's going to be very acrimonious. We should definitely expect some drama," said political analyst X.N. Iraki.

The sitting of parliament begins a new period of high tension after a lull in the crisis, with ODM planning to stage a wave of banned street demonstrations from Wednesday.

Former U.N. head Kofi Annan was due to fly into Nairobi on Tuesday night to head a group of "Eminent Africans" trying to mediate between Kibaki and opposition leader Raila Odinga.

Joining Annan are Graca Machel, wife of Nelson Mandela, and former Tanzanian President Benjamin Mkapa.

Turmoil since the presidential and parliamentary elections has killed at least 612 people, jeopardized Kenya's democratic credentials, damaged one of Africa's brightest economies and dismayed foreign donors.

Western powers complained of irregularities in the presidential vote count and want a power-sharing arrangement.

In the toughest action from the West since the crisis began, the European Union threatened late on Monday to cut aid.


Kibaki's Party of National Unity (PNU) won only 43 seats in the parliamentary election on December 27.

But it believes it can garner enough support from other parties to control the law-making body.

Kibaki, 76, and Odinga, 63 -- a one-time member of his cabinet and former political prisoner -- are likely to face each for the first time since the vote when parliament is sworn in.

Media and civil society groups urged the two sides to put national unity and peace before their dispute.

"We call for integrity and sobriety in parliament ... Kenyans expect a lot," the Standard newspaper said. "Accolades should go to those who aspire to heal the nation; barbs must go the way of those whose mission will be to light more fires."

Diplomatic efforts to get Kibaki and Odinga to negotiate appeared to suffer a blow on Monday when a senior minister and close Kibaki ally rejected Annan's mission.

"He's not coming at our invitation," said Roads and Public Works Minister John Michuki. "We won an election. We don't have a problem to be solved here."

But the Foreign Ministry disowned those comments on Tuesday, saying it welcomed the Annan mission.

"The Government welcomes Eminent African statesmen and personalities to Kenya to facilitate dialogue between political leaders in the search for a lasting solution to the current political situation in the country," it said.

Though the presidential vote was widely perceived to be flawed, the parliamentary ballot was given a relatively clean bill of health by most independent observers.

After parliament's opening, the opposition plans three days of nationwide anti-Kibaki protests from Wednesday.

Police have banned the rallies and many expatriates are leaving Nairobi and other towns in anticipation of trouble.

The United Nations' 4,000 staff in Nairobi were on a Phase 2 alert -- of three levels -- meaning only essential staff were at their desks.

Around 250,000 Kenyans are still living as refugees from the violence -- an irony in a nation long used to receiving the homeless from neighboring hot-spots like Somalia and Sudan.

(Additional reporting by Duncan Miriri; Writing by Andrew Cawthorne; Editing by Barry Moody and Richard Balmforth)

Copyright © 2008 Reuters
Teutone is offline  
post #3 of 4 (permalink) Old 01-15-2008, 03:50 AM
Jakarta Expat's Avatar
Date registered: Aug 2006
Vehicle: PM me to Join the Expat Muslims for Obama Club........
Location: Jakarta, Indonesia
Posts: 17,697
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Quoted: 3 Post(s)
Invade them................
Jakarta Expat is offline  
post #4 of 4 (permalink) Old 01-15-2008, 05:56 AM
BenzWorld Elite
Punjabi's Avatar
Date registered: Mar 2005
Vehicle: Bandwidth
Location: In Virtual Reality
Posts: 3,256
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
heh, rigging is part and parcel of the Kenyan Electrol System ever since the days of post-independence! heh, heh.....this time round, the protests are lingering on because there is international focus on Kenya and the current corrupt regime (all regimes are corrupt in Africa!) is somewhat restrictive in 'dis-banding' the opposition. It is nothing to do with the economy, etc. but solely an ethnic issue based on control of the Government. Track record of the past Presidents Kenyatta and Moi reek of utmost corruption but as both were pro-British, a blind eye was turned on this slight irregularity, as will no doubt be repeated again with the current President Kibaki or whoever takes over! heh, heh......apart from the politics, a fantastic place! heh, heh.......
Punjabi is offline  
Sponsored Links

  Mercedes-Benz Forum > General Mercedes-Benz Forums > Off-Topic

Quick Reply

Register Now

In order to be able to post messages on the Mercedes-Benz Forum forums, you must first register.
Please enter your desired user name, your email address and other required details in the form below.

User Name:
Please enter a password for your user account. Note that passwords are case-sensitive.


Confirm Password:
Email Address
Please enter a valid email address for yourself.

Email Address:


  • Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
    Thread Tools
    Show Printable Version Show Printable Version
    Email this Page Email this Page
    Display Modes
    Linear Mode Linear Mode

    Similar Threads
    Topic Author Forum Replies Last Post
    Come in to my web said the Iranian President to the Iraqi President Black Adder Off-Topic 6 02-02-2010 05:45 AM
    Poll Shows Congressional Approval Ratings Have Returned to Pre-Election Levels Jakarta Expat Off-Topic 5 06-05-2007 11:16 AM
    Latest Gallup Poll shows Hillary would be elected President FeelTheLove Off-Topic 22 05-30-2005 12:43 AM
    OT - Poll - Vote for President! Let's see how SLK people are going to vote this election! NJ CoolBreeze R170 SLK-Class 32 11-02-2004 10:40 AM
    Poll: Stupidest thing you've lost out of your SLK? Me: Eye glasses dbottoms R170 SLK-Class 12 09-21-2003 01:56 AM

    Posting Rules  
    You may post new threads
    You may post replies
    You may not post attachments
    You may not edit your posts

    BB code is On
    Smilies are On
    [IMG] code is On
    HTML code is Off
    Trackbacks are On
    Pingbacks are On
    Refbacks are On


    Title goes here

    video goes here
    description goes here. Read Full Story
    For the best viewing experience please update your browser to Google Chrome