Date registered: Apr 2004
Location: The BlueGrass State
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Quoted: 3 Post(s)
Iran has in it's current arsenal a nice collection of Chinese Silkworm missiles. For as long as I can remember watching Iran as a player they have had these missiles available to shut down the Straits of Hormuz in a heartbeat.
They also have access to nuclear materials. By THEIR accounting enough for Intermediate Range Nuclear Tipped Missiles. In the UN accounting, they are not there yet. In the US perspective, depending on who you listen to, they either DO or DO NOT have sufficient materials to make BIG bombs.
If we plan a strike, it will have to be an all encompassing strike, taking out ALL potential materials AND all offensive Silkworm Shore to Ship missiles. Considering we have been telegraphing signals since Axis of Evil days that Iran is on our Target board, you have to figure they might just have some hidden away from obvious sites. Then you have to worry about aftermath, dirty bombs, enraging yet another civilian population against the United States.
Then we have to plan for the aftermath. This administration has a ZERO record on dealing with what happens after you kick someone in the nuts. With Iraq, we knew the result would not be too dangerous as we apparently knew there were no WMDs. IRAN has WMDs.
I am not sure we are prepared to deal with a country who does not care what the ramifications are if they tactically use their weapons against us, either in Iraq or Afghanistan, in the Persian Gulf or here at home.
If we attack first, they are in a win-win situation. Anything they do is considered defensive and a "strike back" and they gain respect of radical Muslims.
Being smart is knowing the difference, in a sticky situation between a well delivered anecdote and a well delivered antidote - bear.