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post #1 of 11 (permalink) Old 10-21-2006, 09:40 AM Thread Starter
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Coup De Vil?

Will a Coup Unravel Iraq?
by Robert Dreyfuss


The clock is ticking for Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, the hapless, feckless leader of the Shiite fundamentalist party Al Dawa. From Washington, London, Baghdad, and other capitals come rumors that Maliki's government will soon be overthrown by a nationalist general or colonel or that he will resign in favor of an emergency "government of national salvation."

A coup d'état in Iraq would put a period -- or rather an exclamation point -- at the end of the Bush administration's bungled experiment with democracy there. And it would open an entirely new phase in that country's post-2003 national nightmare. Would it result in the creation of a Saddam-like strongman to rule Iraq with a heavy hand? Or would it force the warring parties (Sunni insurgents, Iranian-backed Shiite militias, and Kurdish warlords) to intensify the bloody civil war that is tearing Iraq apart? No one knows.

As the carnage in Iraq reaches new heights of barbarism, what's clear is the utter uselessness of Maliki's government. It is simply incapable of staunching the bloodletting. Despite weeks of blunt warnings from U.S. officials that time was running out for him, on Sunday the Prime Minister announced yet again that efforts to disarm Iraq's militias would be postponed. "The initial date we've set for disbanding the militias is the end of this year or the beginning of next year," he said, according to USA Today. Still, whatever form it might take, a coup d'état stands an excellent chance of making a horrible situation worse. Rather than toy with yet another misstep, the capstone in a seemingly endless series of errors in Iraq, the Bush administration -- including the increasingly powerful "realist," anti-neoconservative policy types now emerging in Washington -- would do far better to start planning for a quick exit.

Despite the bloodbath fears that are constantly raised about an Iraq without American troops, a U.S. exit need not consign that country to years of Rwanda-style ethnic slaughter or a Congo-style civil war. Even as it leaves, there are plenty of things the United States could do to ameliorate the state of post-occupation Iraq, including beginning real negotiations with the Iraqi resistance and launching diplomatic efforts to get neighboring countries, especially Iran and Syria, to stay out of the conflict.

Even though a military coup might seem to some desperate policymakers a tempting option, it's one of those quicksand ideas. In a paper just written for the Middle East Institute, the sagacious Wayne White -- who headed the State Department's intelligence effort on Iraq until last year -- specifically warns that it's time for the United States to "back off" in Iraq:

"A series of apparent U.S. ultimatums and veiled political threats aimed at the government of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki in recent weeks -- especially Maliki himself -- is but the latest example of excessive U.S. involvement in the Iraqi political process.

"[But] it is time that setting the overall direction of Iraqi politics must be left to Iraqis, for better or worse. Washington must recognize that it cannot orchestrate political success in that tortured land through still more heavy-handed political tampering. And stepping back from the Iraqi political fray is a prerequisite for any overall exit strategy."

Is a Coup in the Cards?

[The rest of the article can be found here]

Robert Dreyfuss is the author of Devil's Game: How the United States Helped Unleash Fundamentalist Islam. He covers national security for Rolling Stone and writes frequently for The American Prospect, Mother Jones, and the Nation. He is also a regular contributor to TomPaine.com, the Huffington Post, Tomdispatch, and other sites, and writes the blog, The Dreyfuss Report, at his website.

Copyright 2006 Robert Dreyfuss
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post #2 of 11 (permalink) Old 10-21-2006, 09:51 AM
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So what is wrong with a Coupe?


DeVille?

Last edited by Shane; 12-06-2009 at 10:04 PM.
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post #3 of 11 (permalink) Old 10-21-2006, 09:52 AM Thread Starter
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That boat probably has more armor plating than a Humvee.
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post #4 of 11 (permalink) Old 10-21-2006, 09:57 AM
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I can assure you the 5mph impact bumpers do.

PS Iraq is going to unravel.
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post #5 of 11 (permalink) Old 10-21-2006, 12:49 PM
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I can assure you the 5mph impact bumpers do.

PS Iraq is going to unravel.
"...unRavel" your Boléro!

Don't believe everything you think
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post #6 of 11 (permalink) Old 10-21-2006, 03:02 PM
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Well , no coup necessary. We have the biggest bastard with the right qualifications, proven ruthlessness, leadership skills and track record in jail, Saddam Hussein. He has worked for the US before. No learning curve and something that by now most Iraqis would prefer to Muqtada Al Sadr & friends. The dilletantes in Washington have squandered most chances to keep the Country of Iraq breaking up along sectarian borders into a minimum of three Countries. One of them certain to be controlled by Iran. It' hard to imagine from here, but anyone else we might hand pick might very well be worse. Unrealistic visions of Iraqis walking hand in hand into a democratic future better be forgotten. There were a number of OP plans for the Arab peninsula and Iran (see John Hopkins University) by US war colleges from as far back as the mid 80's. These plans included post invasion law enforcement, securing of borders, intelligence, infrastructure and so on. Of course, Bush & co in their infinite wisdom paid no attention and to this day refuse to admit to their blunders. 2,800 death US solders and 20,000 wounded, plus an estimated 400 - 600,000* Iraqi casualities, at a cost of $ 336 billion and counting are a price far too high. (*official estimates are lower!)
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post #7 of 11 (permalink) Old 10-21-2006, 03:36 PM
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Plus he wears the black turban. The guy has (derivative) clout with God.

B
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post #8 of 11 (permalink) Old 10-21-2006, 05:23 PM
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"...unRavel" your Boléro!
Not a bad song really. Repetitive nonetheless, but has withstood the test of time.
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post #9 of 11 (permalink) Old 10-21-2006, 11:50 PM
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"...unRavel" your Boléro!
One of Keith Richards favorite composers.
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post #10 of 11 (permalink) Old 10-22-2006, 08:11 AM
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Next step will be a coup, just like in Vietnam, where a CIA designed coup and assasination brought in the nasty little corrupt Army generals who looted and killed until all the people rose up and drove all of them out. We learn nothing from history. The idea of putting Saddam back actually has merit. I wonder if he'll charge by the hour this time.

Recall that earlier generations faced down fascism and communism not just with missiles and tanks, but with sturdy alliances and enduring convictions. They understood that our power alone cannot protect us, nor does it entitle us to do as we please. Instead, they knew that our power grows through its prudent use; our security emanates from the justness of our cause, the force of our example, the tempering qualities of humility and restraint.

-President Barack Obama, 1st Inaugural address
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