Originally Posted by maine_coon
OK, for the most talented:
I agree with the following 430 statement:
"The ceasefire now gives them (Hezbollah) time to dig back in, re-arm, and recruit additional fighters"
I also agree with his thesis that israel lost this war.
I also tend to think that full cease fire conditions will not be implemented and Southern Lebanon will not became a safe area for itself or for Israel.
I also think that Syria and / or Iran will not cooperate and will use their puppet organization, hezbollah, whenever they will find it convenient.
And no, I don't want to have Syria and/or Iran nuked, at least for now.
Let's start from the bottom
Nuking Syria or Iran will not be a healthy choice and soon thereafter Israel and many others will be dealing with nuclear fallout.
Syria is actually a good wild card. I am willing to bet if played right that would yield a new era in that region.
I agree that Iran will be tough nut to crack but if isolated it will implode from within. I think most Iranians have had enough of the bullshit life they have. This is not however an invitation like Cheney saw with Iraq.
The cease fire could fail, it's fragile. Time will tell
Israel not only lost that war but it lost credibility inside and out, watch Olmert being ousted...
Hezbollah I am sure is not going to roll over and play dead. It has gained so much from this war even if it lost fighters and some weapons. Other Arabs that harbor dislike of Israel are seeing them as heroes and I am afraid will be emulated. There will be no shortage of volunteers to join them I am afraid. In the end Lebanon also lost and will be in a perpetual war and that's a shame.