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post #11 of 97 (permalink) Old 09-21-2005, 07:27 PM Thread Starter
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RE: Lovely Rita

This could be "the big one". We may all be evacuating, even emergency personnel, to Huntsville, which is 110 miles inland. We are to get the word tomorrow at noon. The storm is now being rated as "catastrophic", with 185 MPH winds, and they are now estimating that the coastal destruction will be extensive to anyone and everything within 140 miles of the eye. To make matters worse, the thing is dragging a huge tail behind it to the north and east of the storm, made up of tornadoes and thunder storms, that will probably belt the entire Texas upper coast. The size of the eye is already a record breaker - the mofo is 70 miles in diameter, which means that is the width of the area that will meet total destruction when the eye-wall hits the shore.

They have extended the evacuation zone to pretty much include all of Houston, also something that is unprecedented. Between Katrina memories, the media hype, and all the politicians trying to effect a great gravitas, people are getting freaked out. We are moving from the "evacuation" stage to the "fleeing" stage. But once again, like Katrina, the storm is unexpectantly strengthening. The weather models predicted it should be getting weaker as it approaches the Texas coast, landing as a Cat 3. Just like Katrina was supposed to. Instead it is turning into a monster. They need to redo their models.

Recall that earlier generations faced down fascism and communism not just with missiles and tanks, but with sturdy alliances and enduring convictions. They understood that our power alone cannot protect us, nor does it entitle us to do as we please. Instead, they knew that our power grows through its prudent use; our security emanates from the justness of our cause, the force of our example, the tempering qualities of humility and restraint.

-President Barack Obama, 1st Inaugural address
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post #12 of 97 (permalink) Old 09-21-2005, 07:41 PM
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RE: Lovely Rita

Good Luck KV!

“The thing is Bob, its not that I’m lazy….. Its that I just don’t care” <img src="http://img17.exs.cx/img17/5918/sig20qr.jpg" border=0>
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post #13 of 97 (permalink) Old 09-21-2005, 07:48 PM
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RE: Lovely Rita

Tropical Weather Discussion

Updated: Wednesday, September 21, 2005 515 pm EDT

Rita continues to undergo rapid intensification and as of 5 pm EDT/4 pm CDT this afternoon, she is a Category 5 hurricane with maximum winds of 165 mph. Some slight additional strengthening is possible tonight. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening hurricane with the potential for catastrophic damage. Mandatory evacuations are in place across much of the Texas coast, please check with your local officials or local news media to determine if you are under a evacuation order. If you are in a evacuation zone, then you need to evacuate the area!!

The hurricane track models continue to be in generally good agreement this afternoon and they are all pointing at a landfall along the central Texas coast and ranges from the GFDL, which forecasts a landfall in an area between Matagorda and Freeport around midnight Friday night to the BAMD model which forecasts a landfall near Port O'Connor on Saturday morning. As for forecasted intensity, the SHIPS model forecasts this system to be at 140 knots in 12 hours, 142 knots in 24 hours, 137 knots in 36 hours, 131 knots in 48 hours, 109 knots in 3 days, 80 knots in 4 days, and 45 knots in 5 days.

Rita is forecasted to move on a general west-northwest course over the next 36 hours beneath a large high pressure system that is located on the northern Gulf Coast. After that, this high pressure system is forecasted to break down some and shift eastward and allow Rita to turn towards the northwest. This northwest motion will continue right up through landfall. At this point, I think Rita will come ashore near Matagorda, Texas very late Friday night or in the predawn hours of Saturday morning as a 140 mph Category 4 hurricane.

Based on this forecast track, heavy rain and tropical storm force winds will begin affecting the Texas coast from Corpus Christi to the Louisiana-Texas stateline around midday on Friday. Weather conditions are forecasted to continue going downhill the rest of Friday afternoon and into Friday night along the Texas coast with hurricane force winds forecasted to arrive on the Texas coast from Refugio to Galveston and Houston around 6 pm Friday evening, with hurricane force winds expected to continue all night Friday night before the winds and rain begin to diminish on Saturday morning. A storm surge of 15 to 20 feet is possible from Matagorda to possibly as far north as Galveston. In addition, total rainfall amounts of 10 to 15 inches is forecasted along the central and upper Texas coast on Friday through Saturday.

I want to emphasize that this is a very dangerous, life threatening and potentially catastrophic hurricane. Evacuation orders are already in place and being implemented across many areas of the Texas coast. Please check with your local officials or local news media to determine if you are under a evacuation order. If you are in a evacuation zone, then you will need to evacuate the area as soon as possible.

The next tropical weather discussion will be issued by 6 am EDT Thursday.

Click For Tropical Weather Information


--------------------


The FEMA model (Hurrivac) indicates rain in excess of 9 inches in a large swath from Port Lavaca to Angleton to Baytown. That area will decrease as teh storm moves northward but expect torrential rains all of teh way to Dallas, maybe beyond. The hurricane force winds will extend north approx to a line between Cameron and Austin at which it will decrease to 'only" tropical storm force but continue with torrential rain.

For this storm, the key will be its forward speed. If it maintains the 15 mph, that's to the good. If it slows it will be very, very bad. That means it will come ashor at the same speed that the storm surge is moving, a confluence of forces that southern Mississippi experienced. In contrast, Ivan came ashore faster than teh storm surge so the two were out of synch and so, storm surge destruction was far less in FL though teh storms were about the same size.

If you live between Port Lavaca, Austin, Houston, and Galveston get the hell out of town and go east or west a long way before you stop driving. Take everybody you love with you.

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post #14 of 97 (permalink) Old 09-21-2005, 09:48 PM
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RE: Lovely Rita

Would it be tasteless to mention I have a boat for sale? J/K
Stay safe KV. If you need a place to stay with a fellow pinko-commie fag feel free to swing by.
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post #15 of 97 (permalink) Old 09-21-2005, 10:48 PM
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RE: Lovely Rita

Kiving,I pray to my god(Allah) to save you and the rest of the people for the destruction of wind and water. The other thing is that unfortunately we got people in my house already and (btw I live with my parents my room seems to be full but, if I have a room in my room you are free to come and stay.btw if I can do anything for you please let me know
Mustafa_aleem@yahoo.com, arabiantxn@yahoo.com and 972 250.2358
[}:)][}:)][}:)]
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post #16 of 97 (permalink) Old 09-21-2005, 11:35 PM Thread Starter
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RE: Lovely Rita

Be careful, you might get your wish.

Recall that earlier generations faced down fascism and communism not just with missiles and tanks, but with sturdy alliances and enduring convictions. They understood that our power alone cannot protect us, nor does it entitle us to do as we please. Instead, they knew that our power grows through its prudent use; our security emanates from the justness of our cause, the force of our example, the tempering qualities of humility and restraint.

-President Barack Obama, 1st Inaugural address
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post #17 of 97 (permalink) Old 09-21-2005, 11:41 PM Thread Starter
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RE: Lovely Rita

Quote:
LK1 - 9/21/2005 11:48 PM

Would it be tasteless to mention I have a boat for sale? J/K
Stay safe KV. If you need a place to stay with a fellow pinko-commie fag feel free to swing by.
I have a sailboat. I am keeping it close. I don't know if I can make it to Boston from here in it, it's kind of cheesy. I may get my lifelong wish to sail the Harris County Tollway fulfilled. There is just something about floating thru those toll lanes and not having to throw in those five quarters that appeals to me. I only hope I don't get my mast caught on the US 59 overpass.

Thanks to all for your good wishes. I am trying to get a slot on the "essential emergency services team" so I can actually go through this thing with a front row seat, but it is kind of a trick to convince them that running computer cable is essential when the eye-wall hits. My only chance is for the cops to accept me as "coffee boy", a difficult task at 51. Otherwise, it is off to Huntsville to pass out pillows.



Recall that earlier generations faced down fascism and communism not just with missiles and tanks, but with sturdy alliances and enduring convictions. They understood that our power alone cannot protect us, nor does it entitle us to do as we please. Instead, they knew that our power grows through its prudent use; our security emanates from the justness of our cause, the force of our example, the tempering qualities of humility and restraint.

-President Barack Obama, 1st Inaugural address
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post #18 of 97 (permalink) Old 09-22-2005, 06:39 AM
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RE: Lovely Rita

Quote:
LK1 - 9/21/2005 10:48 PM
If you need a fellow pinko-commie fag feel free to swing by.
KV may be a fellow pinko-commie fag, but he and his partner are in a very dep and commited relationship. He won't swing by, they're not swingers.

I feel so miserable without you; its almost like having you here.
-- Stephen Bishop
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post #19 of 97 (permalink) Old 09-22-2005, 06:41 AM
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RE: Lovely Rita

Quote:
kvining - 9/21/2005 12:41 AM
I have a sailboat. I am keeping it close. I don't know if I can make it to Boston from here in it, it's kind of cheesy. I may get my lifelong wish to sail the Harris County Tollway fulfilled. There is just something about floating thru those toll lanes and not having to throw in those five quarters that appeals to me. I only hope I don't get my mast caught on the US 59 overpass.

Thanks to all for your good wishes. I am trying to get a slot on the "essential emergency services team" so I can actually go through this thing with a front row seat, but it is kind of a trick to convince them that running computer cable is essential when the eye-wall hits. My only chance is for the cops to accept me as "coffee boy", a difficult task at 51. Otherwise, it is off to Huntsville to pass out pillows.

I wish you to be safe!

I feel so miserable without you; its almost like having you here.
-- Stephen Bishop
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post #20 of 97 (permalink) Old 09-22-2005, 06:59 AM
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RE: Lovely Rita

While I'm not a Commie, Pinko fag, you're welcome to join me in waving my freak flag high.....Since we're expressing 60's cliche's.

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