RE: Situation in Iraq worsens. Mission Unaccomplished Unravels
I submit to you that the press is not aware, nor capable of accurately portraying our military situation in Iraq. They are neither privy to the command decisions and operations, nor should they be. They are not given briefings, told of movements, attacks or battle assessment for obvious reasons. They are deaf, dumb and blind and trying to report on 'what's happening'. Any wonder they get it wrong?
We are not losing. We have been successful and are getting closer to the core elements of this 'insurgency' every day. You can gauge this success by the fact that there are fewer attacks on US military forces and even Iraqi security forces, but a sharp increase in kidnappings and lone bombers. They are getting desperate. In order to 'do something' they are increasingly pairing down their operations to snatching handfuls of people.
Where are the 'massive' strikes by up to a hundred or so gun-wielding insurgents we saw in June-July? Gone. They're down to platoon-sized fights that disperse within minutes of a counter-attack. In May a British unit of the Argylls was forced to conduct a bayonet assault out of an ambush near Basra. Now the town is one of quiet spots in the country.
Secondly, insurgent campaigns run on money, not passion. Someone has to purchase the guns, ammo, fuel, munitions, and food for these guys, and provide medical treatment and evacuation. If they don't thier 'popular' forces tend to drift away. No one wants to be on the second place team.
From the look of things, the insurgents are running out of cash and volunteers at an alarming rate. The public beheadings we've seen recently are a RECRUITING campaign, nothing more. They are playing their last cards to the street rats of Mecca and Cairo to come join their cause. Only problem is, the Arabs can count casualties too. For every one of ours, we're bagging some 15 to 20 of theirs. They might get a fanatic few, but they won't get many more.
They're on their last leg. When the brutality goes sky-high, it's a sign they are in really bad straits.